More Listings. Steady Buyers. Spring Is Quietly Taking Shape.

Inside Lending For the week of February 17, 2026

QUOTE OF THE WEEK

“I always wanted to be somebody, but now I realize I should have been more specific.”—Lily Tomlin, American actress and comedian

NATIONAL MARKET UPDATE

Inventory continues to trend higher. Weekly Housing Trends report shows active listings remain above last year’s levels, giving buyers more options as the market moves closer to spring. Buyer activity is holding steady. Mortgage applications remain active compared to early last year, signaling that motivated buyers are continuing to engage despite typical seasonal slowdowns.

New-home activity is expected to improve this year. Reports show industry leaders are increasingly optimistic about transaction growth in 2026, signaling renewed confidence across the housing market as builders head into spring.

REVIEW OF LAST WEEK

FINDING ITS FOOTING…Markets fluctuated throughout the week as traders weighed fresh inflation data and upcoming Federal Reserve signals. Major indexes finished mixed but remained near recent highs.

Some caution came from inflation readings that showed progress but not enough to eliminate uncertainty about the timing of future policy moves. Investors continue watching economic data closely.

The broader economy remains resilient. Consumer spending has held firm and jobless claims remain low, reinforcing confidence as housing activity gradually builds toward spring.

The week ended with the Dow down 1.2%, to 49,452; the S&P 500 down 1.4%, to 6,833; and the Nasdaq down 2.1%, to 22,597.

Bond prices strengthened overall, with the 30-Year UMBS 5.0% up approximately an eighth of a point for the week, as Treasury yields moved lower following CPI data. Freddie Mac reported minimal movement in the national average 30-year fixed mortgage rate.

DID YOU KNOW…February is when new listings begin to ramp up ahead of peak spring activity, meaning selection often improves before competition does.

THIS WEEK’S FORECAST

HOUSING DATA, RETAIL SALES, BUILDER SENTIMENT…This week brings key updates on Housing Starts and Building Permits, which offer insight into future construction activity and builder confidence heading into spring. Economists will also be watching Existing Home Sales for signs that buyer demand remains steady as inventory improves. Retail Sales and Consumer Sentiment reports will help gauge household confidence, an important driver of housing activity as we move deeper into the first quarter.

FEDERAL RESERVE WATCH

Markets continue to expect policymakers to hold steady in the near term while evaluating inflation and labor trends. Attention remains focused on upcoming economic reports for further direction. Note: In the lower chart, the 7.9% probability of change is a 92.1% probability the rate will stay the same. Current rate is 3.50%–3.75%.

BUSINESS TIP OF THE WEEK

Start each day by writing down your top three priorities. Make them the three things that best align with your goals, so they will have the most impact.

Spring markets reward preparation.

If you’re considering buying, selling, refinancing, or repositioning in 2026, now is the time to build a clear plan before competition accelerates.

In a Mortgage Strategy Call, we will:

• Review how rising inventory impacts your leverage, Evaluate timing based on rates and seasonal demand, Structure a strategy aligned with your short- and long-term goals

Clarity beats reacting to headlines.

📅 Schedule your Mortgage Strategy Call today and move into spring with confidence.

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